IntelBrief: The Past, Present, and Future of Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan

  • Al-Qaeda has not been eliminated from the Afghanistan-Pakistan (AfPak) region, and the group still enjoys significant support in the broader regional jihadist landscape.
  • To counter the aggressive U.S. counterterrorism campaign, al-Qaeda altered its organizational structure and strategy in AfPak, strengthening its roots in the region to ensure its survival.
  • Through this localization strategy, al-Qaeda achieved its primary goal in the region-depriving the U.S. of military victory over the Taliban, leading to the re-establishment of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan.
  • Despite U.S. pressure, the Taliban has refused to sever its relationship with al-Qaeda, which will create serious problems for the region now that the Taliban is back in power in Afghanistan.

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I am a research analyst focusing on jihadism, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.

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Abdul Sayed

Abdul Sayed

I am a research analyst focusing on jihadism, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.

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